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| Gönderen: 2023-10-Nisan Saat 11:35 | Kayıtlı IP
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It's Week 1 of the NFL season, and you, the veteran
football-watcher, know exactly what that means: there's
not one "Monday Night Football" game for your viewing
pleasure this week, but two.My colleague Sean Wagner-
McGough has you covered with pitting the against the ,
which means I'm here with your preview of the late-night
NBA Portland Trail
Blazers Jeresy battle between the and the -- 2017's
one and only Monday night nightcap.Before we get into the
game preview, though, let's get in the mood for some
Monday evening pigskin. Give me the MNF music. The loser
of this game will fall into the basement of the AFC West,
while the winning team will move into a three-way tie
atop the division with the 1-0 and . Both the Chargers
and the Broncos sat at home while the Chiefs and Raiders
went to the playoffs last season, so surely they will
want to get off to a good start to avoid falling behind
in the divisional race. This promises to be a good
defensive battle, with the Broncos having one of the 's
and the Chargers coming off a top-10 finish in defensive
efficiency (as measured by Football Outsiders' defensive
DVOA, which adjusts performance for down, distance, and
opponent) and sporting star talents at all three levels
of their defense. For reasons I'll get into below, I like
the Chargers to come out on top in a low-scoring
affair.The prediction: Chargers 16, Broncos 10How to
watch, streamKickoff:Sept. 11, 10:20 p.m.TV:ESPN (Check
local listings)Streaming: (Try for
blazers-jeresy/trevor-ariza-jersey">Trevor Ariza
Jersey free)1. Why points will be hard to come
byThere were only 322 total points scored by the Broncos
and their opponents in games played at Sports Authority
Field at Mile High last season, an average of just 40.3
per game. There were also only 321 points scored in
Denver in 2015, so things are pretty consistently low-
scoring out there. Those figures work out to about 5.5
points le s per game than you'd expect, given the season-
long average of 22.8 points per game per team in each of
the last two years.As low-scoring as those games have
been in general, though, Chargers-Broncos games have been
even more so. The teams have averaged 36.8 combined
points per game acro s their last four matchups, and the
games have been absolutely littered with turnovers. Those
four contests have featured 11 turnovers by the Chargers
and nine by the Broncos, a combined five-giveaway-per-
game average that far exceeds the NFL average of 2.9 per
contest. 2. Advantage in the run gameWhen points are at
a premium, an advantage can often be given to the team
better positioned to run the ball against its opponent.
Based on both personnel and performance from last season,
that team is undoubtedly the Chargers.Denver was one of
the worst running teams in the NFL last season, averaging
just 3.6 yards per carry as a team. The Broncos were
stuffed behind the line of scrimmage on 21 percent of
their runs last season, 21st in the league, and converted
in power situations (third or fourth downs with two or
fewer yards to go, and any goal-to-go situation inside
the two-yard line) only 51 percent of the time, second-
worst in the NFL. Meanwhile, in their final season in San
Diego, the Chargers stopped opposing runs behind the line
of scrimmage more often than all but three , and though
they were not succe sful
blazers-jeresy/al-farouq-aminu-jersey">Al-Farouq Aminu
Jersey at stopping teams in power situations, they
did an excellent job of stuffing runs up the middle,
where the strength of the Denver running game lies.On the
other side of the ball, the run game was actually the
relative weakne s in Denver's defense. The Broncos
yielded an above-average 4.3 yards per carry, allowed
conversions in 65 percent of power situations, and
stuffed only 11 percent of runs behind the
blazers-jeresy/jusuf-nurkic-jersey">Jusuf Nurkic
Jersey line. After losing defensive coordinator
Wade Phillips (to L.A.'s other team), outside linebackers
(retirement) and (injury), and safety T.J. Ward
(release), it's reasonable to expect them to take another
step backward in that area. ran for 205 yards in two
games against the Broncos last year, and carried 12 times
for 55 yards in the one game he played against them as a
rookie. 3. Rivers can get his groove backIt's true that
has struggled against the Broncos of late. Over his last
four games against Denver, Rivers has completed only 77
of 146 pa ses (52.7 percent) for 875 yards (5.99 per
attempt), five touchdowns, and five interceptions. That's
"good" for a pa ser rating of just 68.1, which is
obviously dreadful.It's also true, however, that Rivers'
No. 1 target, , hasn't been on the field for any of those
four games. Allen mi sed both 2015 contests after
suffering a lacerated kidney in Week 8, and mi sed all
but one half of one game of the 2016 season, tearing his
ACL after posting six catches for 63 yards before
halftime. Allen had 19 catches and three touchdowns
against the Broncos in four games against them in 2013
and 2014. In those games, Rivers completed 85 of 131 pa
ses (64.9 percent) for 868 yards (6.63 per attempt),
seven touchdowns, and four interceptions. That works out
to a significantly-better 88.9 pa ser rating that, while
still short of Rivers' natural abilities, is pretty good
against one of the NFL's best pa s defenses.With Allen
back on the field, Rivers should see more succe s against
the Broncos than he has over the last couple years. ,
meanwhile, did not exactly distinguish himself as a
rookie pa ser, and was only moderately effective against
a San Diego pa s defense mi sing its top cornerback for
both matchups last year. Facing a defense with two top pa
s-rushers ( and ), as well as Verrett, Casey Heyward, ,
and an improved safety group with the addition of and the
return of trail-blazers-jeresy/c-j-elleby-jersey">C.J. Elleby
Jersey , it figures to be tough sledding for
Siemian again.
__________________
John Short, Jr
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